Data for 26th May to 1st June 2021

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Hello Friends! 🌞🌞🌞

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data:

 

Date New +ve tests (%change from previous day New tests NHS tests Community Tests % positive +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve)
26/5 546 (⇧72%) 28,674 17,466 11,208 1.9 602 (2.1%)
27/5 464 (⇩15%) 28,699 19,712 8,987 1.6 507 (1.8%)
28/5 641 (⇧38%) 25,939 15,347 10,592 2.5 679 (2.6%)
29/5 583 (⇩9.1%) 24,532 12,099 12,433 2.4 624 (2.5%)
30/5 526 (⇩9.8%) 17,698 5,872 11,826 3.0 562 (3.2%)
31/5 490 (⇩6.8%) 12,353 5,324 7,029 4.0 517 (4.2%)
1/6 478 (⇩2.4%) 16,489 9,983 6,506 2.9 511 (3.1%)

 

Date Newly tested individuals reported
26/5 6121
27/5 5430
28/5 5578
29/5 5078
30/5 4375
31/5 3598
1/6 3865

 

Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:

Date 26/5 27/5 28/5 29/5 30/8 31/5 1/6
Ayrshire & Arran 33 38 49 53 35 55 37
Borders 2 0 2 0 1 1 3
Dumfries & Galloway 1 2 1 2 3 2 2
Fife 26 19 35 23 27 15 21
Forth Valley 25 19 23 24 28 19 22
Grampian 16 12 11 9 10 7 5
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 229 170 233 239 181 190 185
Highland 6 4 9 31 20 12 11
Lanarkshire 94 68 104 83 68 74 49
Lothian 59 98 132 80 119 84 107
Orkney 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Shetland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tayside 55 34 42 39 34 31 35
Western Isles 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

 

Hospitals etc

 

Date Deaths ITU with +ve test ITU patients over 28 days Hospital Occupancy

(%age of delayed discharges)

Delayed in hospital
26/5 0 6 5 98 (8.8%) 1116
27/5 0 4 5 83 (7.4%) 1116
28/5 2 6 3 90 (8.1%) 1116
29/5 0 5 3 86 (7.7%) 1116
30/5 0 7 3 101 (9.1%) 1116
31/5 1 8 3 110 (9.9%) 1116
1/6 0 10 3 106 (9.5%) 1116

 

Vaccinations

 

Date Cumulative first doses Cumulative second doses Daily first dose Daily second dose
26/5 3,155,733 1,913,809 17367 32595
27/5 3,174,807 1,942,285 19074 28476
28/5 3,196,051 1,971,006 21244 28721
29/5 3,215,770 1,998,409 19719 27403
30/5 3,234,311 2,022,728 18541 24319
31/5 3,251,138 2,044,253 16827 21525
1/6 3,267,290 2,075,231 16152 30978

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 630 people had the coronavirus in the week 16th to 22nd May. This is much higher than the previous week, where prevalence was 1 in 1960. This is very strange to me…. With the summer here and vaccinations having been given to so many people, surely questions are being asked about what is going on here.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are rising – in fact they seem to be accelerating.

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is rising. We have been below 5%, which is the WHO epidemic level since early February.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is rising very quickly.

Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at 10% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are at zero.

Graph 4

 

Graph 5 – I have added this positive percentage graph because the tightness of the last week is actually quite interesting, especially compared to previous weeks. There is a much greater variation day to day than in previous weeks.

Graph 5

 

Graph 6 – I have added these because of the concerns about rising cases across the country. You can see a very significant increase in the number of cases in Greater Glasgow & Clyde and smaller rises in Lanarkshire and Ayrshire & Arran. Remember, it all depends how many tests have been conducted. But, to me, it looks like quite a lot of not very much going on, especially looking at hospital occupancy.

Graph 6

Graph 7 – You can see a rise in cases in Lothian and really nothing happening in Tayside or Grampian – nothing has been happening in Grampian through the Moray ‘surge’.

Graph 7

 

Graph 8 – nothing happening either in Fife or Forth Valley.

Graph 8

Graph 9 – nothing happening in Borders, Dumfries & Galloway or Highland.

Graph 9

Graph 10 – everything looking standard and repeatable for testing.

Graph 10

Graphs 11&12 – we are now approaching half the population double-vaccinated, but second doses are gaining on first doses so there is clearly a significant slowing in first dose take-up, for whatever reason. Second doses are also falling though, overall, after a recent recovery.

Graphs 11&12 – Vaccinations.

 

Graph 13 – hospitals by region. GG&C is the only place anything is happening. Hospital numbers falling again. There are now 7 people with a positive covid test in ITU in NHS GG&C.

Graph 13

Graph 14 – This is not good news. Prevalence is up. I find this really surprising for summer and with so many vaccinations having been taken up. The question of why this is happening must be answered.


Graph 14

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Lots of love  ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

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9 Comments

  • Many thanks Christine. What are your thoughts on the theory that the vaccinations might be driving the emergence of new variants and this might be the cause of increasing cases?

    Reply
    • My thoughts are that this theory needs urgent exploration. We saw rises in cases after vaccination started in the winter. And we see it now as we vaccinate younger groups. The correlation cannot be ignored for much longer.

      Reply
    • Completely legitimate concern as we see various other experts talk about this from Luc Montagnier to Geert Van der Bosche. As a biologist with 20 years experience i don’t fear easily but i must say i am quite terrified of this coming winter and what will occur within the vaccinated population especially with booster shots added and quite possibly more flu shots on top. (although flu has vanished so there really should be no need right for those). Yeah.

      Reply
  • Thank you so much for this information. I really appreciate all the information on this site. I regularly visit and it really elevates my fears when I hear about “cases”. I’m so relieved that I can look at this site and understand the numbers so much better.

    Reply
  • Your work is very much appreciated Christine. I just worked out today (from NRS) that from Jan-Jun 2021 deaths from all causes in Scotland are the third lowest since 2015. In fact the whole month of May we had 12 covid-19 deaths (according to UKGOV dashboard (deaths within 28 days of positive PCR of ANY cause) out of 5.4 million people AND the LOWEST ALL CAUSE MORTALITY SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1855 and i am supposed to believe we are in a pandemic ? It’s beyond fantasy ! We did have a noticeable spike in deaths occurring Jan-Mar 2021 likely seasonality and other reasons. But overall from Jan-Jun in 2018 there were 27,231 deaths from all causes vs 2021 there were 26,084 meaning in 2018 at this stage had the equivalent of a full weeks extra mortality. (1,147). No lockdown, masks or pandemic back then ! Scotland is being humiliated ! WAKE UP AND STOP COMPLYING is my advice, they have no intention of ever returning us to true normal as we see from level 0 criteria. This is totalitarianism on steroids !

    Reply
  • Apparently Forres water works picked up higher than normal levels of Coronavirus present (Jings they must be awffy good scientists in Forres Moray) and they said everyone should get tested even if they have no symptoms even though it’s not yet clear how this will impact case numbers in the town. 🤷🏻‍♀️ Well that was 4 days ago let’s wait and see what happens.I see Kirkcaldy has the next roll of the dice.

    Reply
    • COVID-19 is based on fraudulent PCR test results. NO PCR TEST = NO COVID-19 = NO PANDEMIC. FACT.

      Chief Microbiologist and Laboratory Specialist Dr. Jared Bullard is a witness for the Manitoba government in this hearing. Questioned under oath Dr. Bullard acknowledged that the PCR test has significant limitations. The head of Cadham Provincial Laboratory in Winnipeg, Dr. Bullard admitted that PCR test results do not verify infectiousness, and were never intended to be used to diagnose respiratory illnesses.

      Weak results are those run at higher thresholds (more cycles). For example, someone with a positive PCR test that is run at 18 cycles is more likely to be sick and infectious than someone who has a test run at a Ct value of 40. . Samples tested at a Ct of over 25, according to Dr. Bullard’s report, produced no viable lab cultures.

      NHS Scotland are running 40CT, we all know what that means. Utterly scandalous !

      source:
      https://www.jccf.ca/manitoba-chief-microbiologist-and-laboratory-specialist-56-of-positive-cases-are-not-infectious/

      Reply

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