Data for 16th to 21st June 2021

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Hello Friends! 🌞🌞🌞

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data:

 

Date New +ve tests (%change from previous day New tests NHS tests Community Tests % positive +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve)
16/6 1,129 (⇧16%) 35,638 19,979 15,659 3.2 1,194 (3.4%)
17/6 1,317 (⇧17% 30,990 16,728 14,262 4.2 1,412 (4.6%)
18/6 950 (⇩28%) 29,254 17,637 11,617 3.2 1,012 (3.5%)
19/6 1,209 (⇧27%) 28,809 11,185 17,624 4.2 1,297 (4.5%)
20/6 1,205 (⇩3.3%) 22,098 5,552 16,546 5.5 1,281 (5.8%)
21/6 1,250 (⇧3.7%) 18,580 5,429 13,151 6.7 1,332 (7.2%)

 

Date Newly tested individuals reported
16/6 8309
17/6 8098
18/6 6611
19/6 8019
20/6 6560
21/6 5892

 

Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:

Date 16/6 17/6 18/6 19/6 20/6 21/6
Ayrshire & Arran 122 104 99 111 104 108
Borders 15 20 17 17 24 22
Dumfries & Galloway 5 7 10 12 18 13
Fife 50 56 24 43 46 55
Forth Valley 52 58 29 44 29 34
Grampian 61 74 65 76 101 65
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 245 372 218 320 294 324
Highland 39 42 25 40 30 34
Lanarkshire 150 161 160 92 125 150
Lothian 286 262 212 331 321 345
Orkney 0 0 1 3 0 0
Shetland 0 0 1 4 2 5
Tayside 104 161 89 115 111 95
Western Isles 0 0 0 1 0 0

 

Hospitals etc

 

Date Deaths ITU with +ve test ITU patients over 28 days Hospital Occupancy

(%age of delayed discharges)

Delayed in hospital
16/6 1 15 1 133 (12%) 1142
17/6 4 12 1 140 (12%) 1142
18/6 2 12 2 128 (11%) 1142
19/6 2 10 2 145 (13%) 1142
20/6 0 12 2 149 (13%) 1142
21/6 0 14 2 158 (14%) 1142

 

Vaccinations

Date Cumulative first doses Cumulative second doses Daily first dose Daily second dose
16/6 3,551,739 2,493,358 20278 23177
17/6 3,571,726 2,516,066 19987 22708
18/6 3,591,638 2,535,803 19912 19737
19/6 3,611,266 2,555,308 19628 19505
20/6 3,630,589 2,571,637 19323 16329
21/6 3,647,437 2,586,970 16848 15333

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 600 people had the coronavirus in the week 6th to 12th June. This is lower than the previous week, where prevalence was 1 in 540.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – β€˜Cases’ are rising – really very high indeed!

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is rising fast.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is rising steadily.

Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at around 10% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are very low, averaging zero per day.

Graph 4

 

Graph 5 – This is just to show how positive tests have become totally divorced from hospitalisations – it’s just madness to use so many resources this way. This truly is a ‘casedemic’ now, and quite a severe one.

Graph 5

Graph 6 – This is the highest positivity rate we have seen on a Monday for a very long time, and this positive percentage seems to be climbing and in it for the long haul, it appears now.

Graph 6

Graph 7 – Splitting areas up into similar shaped curves of ‘cases’, as I did earlier in the year, you can see these three areas are still changing in sync. Glasgow continues to rise, and Ayrshire & Arran is reaching almost January levels. In summer!

Graph 7

Graph 8 – Lothian has risen absurdly high.

Graph 8

Graph 9 – Fife and Forth Valley still nicely synchronised! Steady upwards march.

Graph 9

Graph 10 – Borders, Dumfries & Galloway and Highland also rising subtly in sync.

Graph 10

Graph 11 – You can see while NHS testing has remained quite consistent, Community tests (in Lighthouse Labs) has been rising recently.

Graph 11

Graph 12 – I just made this up today. What a surprise! The more there are tests performed at the Lighthouse Labs, the higher the positivity rate goes!

Graph 12

Graph 13 – Hospital Occupancy. Greater Glasgow and Clyde has had greater occupancy recently and seems to be levelled off at this elevated occupancy. Other regions are either falling slowly or largely level and low for covid occupancy. If a region does not appear, it’s because it has fewer than 5 patients in the whole region with a positive covid test.

Graph 13

 

Graphs 14&15 – Vaccinations – Second doses are catching up with first doses, which indicates that there is a slowing in uptake of first doses. Second doses are also slowing.

Graphs 14&15

 

Graph 16 – ONS Prevalence survey shows a levelling off at this elevated infection rate. This, obviously, is not at all matched by the community testing results above.

Graph 16

 

Tweet and share!

Lots of love  ❀

Stay sane 🧠  Stay strong πŸ’ͺ

Christine x

 

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2 Comments

    • We have been ill – with Covid – in the house where the stats get done – one of us severely. And then we went on holiday. Back on it today!
      Love, ❀

      Reply

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