For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
I have left the updates over the weekend because the Government doesn’t update the detailed statistics at the weekend.
|Date||New +ve tests (%change from previous day||New tests||NHS tests||Community Tests||% positive||+ve tests inc repeats (% +ve)|
|8/5||224 (⇩5.1%)||21,669||12,255||9,414||1.0||256 (1.2%)|
|9/5||200 (⇩11%)||13,976||5,630||8,346||1.4||215 (1.5%)|
|10/5||168 (⇩16%)||11,516||5,848||5,668||1.5||189 (1.6%)|
|Date||Newly tested individuals reported|
Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:
|Ayrshire & Arran||15||10||12|
|Dumfries & Galloway||1||2||0|
|Greater Glasgow & Clyde||88||77||49|
|Date||Deaths||ITU with +ve test||ITU patients over 28 days||Hospital Occupancy
(%age of delayed discharges)
|Delayed in hospital|
|Date||Cumulative first doses||Cumulative second doses||Daily first dose||Daily second dose|
ONS Prevalence Survey
The ONS estimates 1 in 760 people had the coronavirus in the week 26th April to 2nd May. This is a very low rate and getting smaller. The previous week the rate was 1 in 640. We are certainly out of coronavirus season and came out of any epidemic a long long time ago!
Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are flat. As expected as we come in to summer.
Graph 2 – Positivity is very far below epidemic levels and stable at around 1%. We have been below 5%, which is the WHO epidemic level since early February.
Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is flat, indicating no widespread illness in the community driving people to seek tests.
Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at 6% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are at zero.
Graph 5 – ITU occupancy and deaths are on the floor. It seems all the patients with a positive covid test in ITU are long term patients. I’m confused there are now more long term patients than overall patients. Clearly, there is an error here. In my previous understanding, or in the data input from the Government. But the headline figure is 6 patients in ITU in today’s announcement.
Graph 6 – I have added the Grampian trace, which we’re following with interest because of the recent ‘surge’ being reported there. You can see there is no surge in the region as a whole, so quite why we need to be worrying about this, from an NHS protection point of view particularly, is anyone’s guess.
Graph 7 – NHS vs Community testing. It will be interesting to see where the number of NHS tests peaks this coming week. Last week and the week before saw the highest number of tests ever undertaken by the NHS. I hope they are going to start reducing this. It is offering Scotland no benefit whatsoever.
Graph 8 – Hospital occupancy by region. Only 4 regions have more than 4 covid patients in all their hospitals combined. Numbers have risen in Greater Glasgow and Clyde and Lothian, but still very low. Grampian (includes Moray) has seen no change.
Graphs 9&10 – Vaccinations are very interesting. First doses are flat and second doses are being delivered at a much faster rate but slowing significantly. There is something going on here – I’m just not quite sure what it is!
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