Data for 18th May 2021

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Hello Friends! 🌱🌱🌱

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data 18th May 2021:

268 new +ve tests (⇧66% since yesterday)

17515 new tests reporting (⇧54%) 

(- of these 11174 were NHS (64% of the tests returned) and 6341 were community (36%).)

This is 1.5% positive percentage rate.

 

In total including repeat tests 290 were +ve – this is a 1.7% rate.

 

4007 newly tested individuals reported (⇩25%)

 

Local positive tests numbers from last 24 hours:

Ayrshire and Arran 11, Borders 1, Dumfries and Galloway 0, Fife 11, Forth Valley 25, Grampian 3, Greater Glasgow and Clyde 138, Highland 2, Lanarkshire 32, Lothian 29, Orkney 0, Shetland 1, Tayside 14, Western Isles 1

 

Other stats:

0 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve in previous 28 days

4 people in ITU with recently +ve test 

*There are 7 patients who have been in ITU for over 28 days.

70 admitted or moving through or stuck in hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days

There are 1088 delayed patients in Scottish hospitals as of 5th May, so covid patients are 6.4% of this number.

 

Vaccinations

As of today, 3,045,152 people have received their first dose of the vaccine and 1,669,469 their second.

 

This means that yesterday 9,362 people received their first dose, and 30,933 their second.

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 1250 people had the coronavirus in the week 2nd to 8th May – this is down from 1 in 760 the previous week. This is a very low rate indeed.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ look to be levelling off again, but that is clearly because of the number of tests being carried out. (see Graph 2)

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is levelling off again at around the 1.5% level.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – Newly tested individuals also seem to be settling again.

Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy is now at approximately one twentieth of the number of delayed discharges. Deaths are flat at zero.

Graph 4

 

Graph 5&6 – Greater Glasgow & Clyde and Grampian cases – Grampian includes Moray and Inverurie where the apparent crisis is happening with covid cases. As you can see, there is nothing happening at all. There are 3 cases being reported for the WHOLE of NHS Grampian today. Glasgow is also flattening. Remember these are absolute numbers.

Graph 5&6

 

Graph 7 – Hospital occupancy by region – traces here are from the only four regions in the whole of Scotland with more than 4 covid patients. You can see there is no crisis anywhere. Grampian hospital occupancy is falling, despite the Moray/Inverurie crisis. Glasgow, where there is some concern, has a rising hospital occupancy but the number of covid patients is small.

There are no regions with more than 4 ITU patients anywhere, and that has been the case since 18th April.

Graph 7

 

Graphs 8&9 – Vaccinations progress and the trend of increasing first doses and falling second doses continues. So are we completing the two-dose course of treatment for many people and are now starting with more new ones? Are people not taking their second doses?

Graphs 8&9

 

Tweet and share!

Lots of love  ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

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