Data for 15th to 17th May 2021

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Hello Friends! 🌱🌱🌱

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data:

 

Date New +ve tests (%change from previous day New tests NHS tests Community Tests % positive +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve)
15/5 413 (⇧92%) 27,866 15,457 12,409 1.5 434 (1.6%)
16/5 292 (⇩29%) 16,003 5,423 10,580 1.8 318 (2.0%)
17/5 161 (⇩45%) 11,361 5,322 6,039 1.4 178 (1.6%)

 

Date Newly tested individuals reported
15/5 5035
16/5 3674
17/5 2991

 

Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:

Date 15/5 16/5 17/5
Ayrshire & Arran 21 12 2
Borders 1 1 0
Dumfries & Galloway 2 0 0
Fife 26 16 21
Forth Valley 13 19 9
Grampian 26 16 15
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 176 143 60
Highland 5 1 0
Lanarkshire 65 32 25
Lothian 54 45 21
Orkney 2 0 0
Shetland 0 0 0
Tayside 22 7 8
Western Isles 0 0 0

 

Hospitals etc

 

Date Deaths ITU with +ve test ITU patients over 28 days Hospital Occupancy

(%age of delayed discharges)

Delayed in hospital
15/5 0 2 7 69 (6.3%) 1088
16/5 0 3 7 61 (5.6%) 1088
17/5 0 3 7 68 (6.3%) 1088

 

Vaccinations

 

Date Cumulative first doses Cumulative second doses Daily first dose Daily second dose
15/5 3,003,339 1,599,519 17782 23754
16/5 3,020,335 1,621,031 16996 21512
17/5 3,035,790 1,638,536 15455 17505

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 1250 people had the coronavirus in the week 2nd to 8th May. This is extremely low. The previous week the rate was 1 in 760. We are certainly out of coronavirus season and came out of any epidemic a long long time ago!

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are rising really very slightly, which means nothing without the context of the number of tests being carried out. See Graph 2.

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is very far below epidemic levels and stable at around 1%. It is rising slightly, but even less than positives. We have been below 5%, which is the WHO epidemic level since early February.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is flattening off again.

Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at 6% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are at zero.

Graph 4

 

Graph 5 – I have added this positive percentage graph because the tightness of the last week is actually quite interesting, especially compared to previous weeks.

Graph 5

 

Graphs 6&7 – I have added the Greater Glasgow & Clyde and Grampian positive tests traces, which we’re following with interest because of the recent ‘surges’ being reported there. See what you make of it. Remember, it all depends how many tests have been conducted. But, to me, it looks like quite a lot of nothing going on.

Graphs 6&7

Graph 8 – Hospital Occupancy. Again, take what you will from this…. Hospitals are not busy with Covid patients. All the other REGIONS in Scotland have fewer than 5 patients with a positive covid test in total in them

Graph 8

 

Graphs 9&10 – Vaccinations.

Graphs 9&10

 

Tweet and share!

Lots of love  ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

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