Hello Friends! 🌱🌱🌱
For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Data:
| Date | New +ve tests (%change from previous day | New tests | NHS tests | Community Tests | % positive | +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve) |
| 15/5 | 413 (⇧92%) | 27,866 | 15,457 | 12,409 | 1.5 | 434 (1.6%) |
| 16/5 | 292 (⇩29%) | 16,003 | 5,423 | 10,580 | 1.8 | 318 (2.0%) |
| 17/5 | 161 (⇩45%) | 11,361 | 5,322 | 6,039 | 1.4 | 178 (1.6%) |
| Date | Newly tested individuals reported |
| 15/5 | 5035 |
| 16/5 | 3674 |
| 17/5 | 2991 |
Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:
| Date | 15/5 | 16/5 | 17/5 |
| Ayrshire & Arran | 21 | 12 | 2 |
| Borders | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dumfries & Galloway | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Fife | 26 | 16 | 21 |
| Forth Valley | 13 | 19 | 9 |
| Grampian | 26 | 16 | 15 |
| Greater Glasgow & Clyde | 176 | 143 | 60 |
| Highland | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Lanarkshire | 65 | 32 | 25 |
| Lothian | 54 | 45 | 21 |
| Orkney | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Shetland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tayside | 22 | 7 | 8 |
| Western Isles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hospitals etc
| Date | Deaths | ITU with +ve test | ITU patients over 28 days | Hospital Occupancy
(%age of delayed discharges) |
Delayed in hospital |
| 15/5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 69 (6.3%) | 1088 |
| 16/5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 61 (5.6%) | 1088 |
| 17/5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 68 (6.3%) | 1088 |
Vaccinations
| Date | Cumulative first doses | Cumulative second doses | Daily first dose | Daily second dose |
| 15/5 | 3,003,339 | 1,599,519 | 17782 | 23754 |
| 16/5 | 3,020,335 | 1,621,031 | 16996 | 21512 |
| 17/5 | 3,035,790 | 1,638,536 | 15455 | 17505 |
ONS Prevalence Survey
The ONS estimates 1 in 1250 people had the coronavirus in the week 2nd to 8th May. This is extremely low. The previous week the rate was 1 in 760. We are certainly out of coronavirus season and came out of any epidemic a long long time ago!
Comment:
Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are rising really very slightly, which means nothing without the context of the number of tests being carried out. See Graph 2.
Graph 1
Graph 2 – Positivity is very far below epidemic levels and stable at around 1%. It is rising slightly, but even less than positives. We have been below 5%, which is the WHO epidemic level since early February.
Graph 2
Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is flattening off again.
Graph 3
Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at 6% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are at zero.
Graph 4
Graph 5 – I have added this positive percentage graph because the tightness of the last week is actually quite interesting, especially compared to previous weeks.
Graph 5
Graphs 6&7 – I have added the Greater Glasgow & Clyde and Grampian positive tests traces, which we’re following with interest because of the recent ‘surges’ being reported there. See what you make of it. Remember, it all depends how many tests have been conducted. But, to me, it looks like quite a lot of nothing going on.
Graphs 6&7
Graph 8 – Hospital Occupancy. Again, take what you will from this…. Hospitals are not busy with Covid patients. All the other REGIONS in Scotland have fewer than 5 patients with a positive covid test in total in them
Graph 8
Graphs 9&10 – Vaccinations.
Graphs 9&10
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Lots of love ❤
Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪
Christine x