Hello Friends! ???
For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Data:
| Date | New +ve tests (%change from previous day | New tests | NHS tests | Community Tests | % positive | +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve) |
| 13/5 | 270 (⇩22%) | 25,093 | 18,600 | 6,493 | 1.1 | 299 (1.2%) |
| 14/5 | 215 (⇩20%) | 17,457 | 13,330 | 4,127 | 1.2 | 231 (1.3%) |
| Date | Newly tested individuals reported |
| 13/5 | 4077 |
| 14/5 | 2767 |
Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:
| Date | 13/5 | 14/5 |
| Ayrshire & Arran | 10 | 4 |
| Borders | 0 | 3 |
| Dumfries & Galloway | -1 | 0 |
| Fife | 27 | 16 |
| Forth Valley | 8 | 1 |
| Grampian | 7 | 15 |
| Greater Glasgow & Clyde | 138 | 110 |
| Highland | 2 | 0 |
| Lanarkshire | 39 | 21 |
| Lothian | 26 | 37 |
| Orkney | 0 | 0 |
| Shetland | 0 | 0 |
| Tayside | 13 | 7 |
| Western Isles | 1 | 1 |
Hospitals etc
| Date | Deaths | ITU with +ve test | ITU patients over 28 days | Hospital Occupancy
(%age of delayed discharges) |
Delayed in hospital |
| 13/5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 63 (5.8%) | 1088 |
| 14/5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 64 (5.9%) | 1088 |
Vaccinations
| Date | Cumulative first doses | Cumulative second doses | Daily first dose | Daily second dose |
| 13/5 | 2,968,169 | 1,551,339 | 20105 | 24450 |
| 14/5 | 2,985,557 | 1,575,765 | 17388 | 24426 |
ONS Prevalence Survey
The ONS estimates 1 in 1250 people had the coronavirus in the week 2nd to 8th May. This is extremely low. The previous week the rate was 1 in 760. We are certainly out of coronavirus season and came out of any epidemic a long long time ago!
Comment:
Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are rising slightly, which means nothing without the context of the number of tests being carried out. See Graph 2.
Graph 1
Graph 2 – Positivity is very far below epidemic levels and stable at around 1%. We have been below 5%, which is the WHO epidemic level since early February.
Graph 2
Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is rising, because of all the community testing, presumably.
Graph 3
Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at 6% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are at zero.
Graph 4
Graphs 5&6 – I have added the Greater Glasgow & Clyde and Grampian traces, which we’re following with interest because of the recent ‘surges’ being reported there. See what you make of it. Remember, it all depends how many tests have been conducted.
Graphs 5&6
Graph 7 – NHS vs Community testing.
Graph 7
Graph 8 – Hospital Occupancy. Again, take what you will from this…. Hospitals are not busy with Covid patients.
Graph 8
Graphs 9&10 – Vaccinations.
Graphs 9&10
Graph 11 – ONS Prevalence – look how low prevalence is. That’s 1 in 1250. Imagine 1250 people. And imagine one person infected in that crowd.
Graph 11
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Lots of love ❤
Stay sane ? Stay strong ?
Christine x
3 Comments
Love your work Christine and your latest you-tube video on responsibility was apt. My neighbour said she will wear a mask forever if told to do so. ‘I don’t want to get into trouble’ she said. This charade is over for me personally. I will try and awaken others to a reality of less fear and more common sense.
Still in Lockdown level 3 in Moray its absolutely ridiculous
We agree with you 100%. ❤