Data for 13th to 14th May 2021

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Hello Friends! 🌱🌱🌱

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data:

 

Date New +ve tests (%change from previous day New tests NHS tests Community Tests % positive +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve)
13/5 270 (⇩22%) 25,093 18,600 6,493 1.1 299 (1.2%)
14/5 215 (⇩20%) 17,457 13,330 4,127 1.2 231 (1.3%)

 

Date Newly tested individuals reported
13/5 4077
14/5 2767

 

Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:

Date 13/5 14/5
Ayrshire & Arran 10 4
Borders 0 3
Dumfries & Galloway -1 0
Fife 27 16
Forth Valley 8 1
Grampian 7 15
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 138 110
Highland 2 0
Lanarkshire 39 21
Lothian 26 37
Orkney 0 0
Shetland 0 0
Tayside 13 7
Western Isles 1 1

 

Hospitals etc

 

Date Deaths ITU with +ve test ITU patients over 28 days Hospital Occupancy

(%age of delayed discharges)

Delayed in hospital
13/5 1 4 9 63 (5.8%) 1088
14/5 2 3 7 64 (5.9%) 1088

 

Vaccinations

 

Date Cumulative first doses Cumulative second doses Daily first dose Daily second dose
13/5 2,968,169 1,551,339 20105 24450
14/5 2,985,557 1,575,765 17388 24426

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 1250 people had the coronavirus in the week 2nd to 8th May. This is extremely low. The previous week the rate was 1 in 760. We are certainly out of coronavirus season and came out of any epidemic a long long time ago!

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are rising slightly, which means nothing without the context of the number of tests being carried out. See Graph 2.

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is very far below epidemic levels and stable at around 1%. We have been below 5%, which is the WHO epidemic level since early February.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is rising, because of all the community testing, presumably.

Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy (patients with a positive covid test) is now at 6% of the delayed discharge number. Deaths are at zero.

Graph 4

 

Graphs 5&6 – I have added the Greater Glasgow & Clyde and Grampian traces, which we’re following with interest because of the recent ‘surges’ being reported there. See what you make of it. Remember, it all depends how many tests have been conducted.

Graphs 5&6

 

Graph 7 – NHS vs Community testing.

Graph 7

 

Graph 8 – Hospital Occupancy. Again, take what you will from this…. Hospitals are not busy with Covid patients.

Graph 8

 

Graphs 9&10 – Vaccinations.

Graphs 9&10

 

Graph 11 – ONS Prevalence – look how low prevalence is. That’s 1 in 1250. Imagine 1250 people. And imagine one person infected in that crowd.

Graph 11

Tweet and share!

Lots of love  ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

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3 Comments

  • Love your work Christine and your latest you-tube video on responsibility was apt. My neighbour said she will wear a mask forever if told to do so. ‘I don’t want to get into trouble’ she said. This charade is over for me personally. I will try and awaken others to a reality of less fear and more common sense.

    Reply
  • Still in Lockdown level 3 in Moray its absolutely ridiculous

    Reply

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