Data for 11th May 2021

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Hello Friends!

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

I couldn’t update them yesterday, when I went to try because there was a problem with the data collection again, now rectified.

 

Data 11th May 2021:

238 new +ve tests (⇧42% since yesterday)

15532 new tests reporting (⇧35%) 

(- of these 9931 were NHS (64% of the tests returned) and 5601 were community (36%).)

This is 1.5% positive percentage rate (no change from previous day).

 

In total including repeat tests 260 were +ve – this is a 1.6% rate (⇧0.1% since previous day).

 

3506 newly tested individuals reported (⇧31%)

 

Local positive tests numbers from last 24 hours:

Ayrshire and Arran 14, Borders 0, Dumfries and Galloway 0, Fife 16, Forth Valley 9, Grampian 21, Greater Glasgow and Clyde 95, Highland 2, Lanarkshire 45, Lothian 33, Orkney 0, Shetland 0, Tayside 3, Western Isles 0

 

Other stats:

0 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve in previous 28 days

6 people in ITU with recently +ve test 

*There are 10 of these patients who have been in ITU for over 28 days.  (I know, this doesn’t make sense, but this is what the official statistics are saying.)

70 admitted or moving through or stuck in hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days (⇧10 since yesterday).

There are 1011 delayed patients in Scottish hospitals as of 5th May, so covid patients are 6.9% of this number.

 

Vaccinations

As of today, 2,928,963 people have received their first dose of the vaccine and 1,506,613 their second.

 

This means that yesterday 19,807 people received their first dose, and 21,317 their second.

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 760 people had the coronavirus in the week 26th April to 2nd May – this is down from 1 in 640 the previous week. This is a very low rate indeed.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ rising very slightly

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is rising very slightly but remains at around average 1%.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – Newly tested individuals are also rising very slightly, but given the huge numbers of asymptomatic tests being carried out in Moray, this is hardly a surprise.

Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy is now at approximately one twentieth of the number of delayed discharges. Deaths are flat at zero.

Graph 4

 

Graph 5 – Looks like all our ITU patients with a positive covid test are long term, and strangely, there are more long term covid patients than overall covid patients. I don’t understand this.

Graph 5

 

Graph 6 – Grampian cases – includes Moray where this incredible crisis is happening with covid cases. As you can see, there is nothing happening at all. Please see blog post What’s Really Happening In Moray from yesterday on this website.

Graph 6

 

Graph 7 – NHS vs Community Lab tests. Interesting to see what will happen with NHS tests this week. I hope they will have peaked.

Graph 7

 

Graph 8 – Hospital occupancy by region – traces here are from the only four regions in the whole of Scotland with more than 4 covid patients. You can see there is no crisis anywhere. And the Grampian hospital occupancy is flat, despite the Moray crisis.

There are no regions with more than 4 ITU patients anywhere, and that has been the case since 18th April.

Graph 8

 

Graphs 9&10 – Vaccinations progress and the trend of increasing first doses and falling second doses continues. So are we completing the two-dose course of treatment for many people and are now starting with more new ones? Are people not taking their second doses?

Graphs 9&10

 

Tweet and share!

Lots of love  ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

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