Data for 17th to 24th April 2021

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on email

Hello Friends! 🌱🌱🌱

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data:

 

Date New +ve tests New tests NHS tests Community Tests % positive +ve tests inc repeats (% +ve)
17/4 210 (⇩25%) 19,331 11,096 8,235 1.1 237 (1.2%)
18/4 211 (⇧0.5%) 15,097 6,577 8,520 1.4 240 (1.6%)
19/4 199 (⇧10%) 10,649 5,314 5,335 1.9 270 (2.5%)
20/4 178 (⇩11%) 14,868 10,957 3,911 1.2 212 (1.4%)
21/4 273 (⇧53%) 24,349 17,337 7,012 1.1 305 (1.3%)
22/4 231 (⇩17%) 23,302 18,007 5,295 1.0 253 (1.1%)
23/4 255 (⇧10%) 19,771 14,370 5,401 1.3 288 (1.5%)

 

17th April: 2736 newly tested individuals reported

18th April: 2452 newly tested individuals reported

19th April: 2310 newly tested individuals reported

20th April: 2699 newly tested individuals reported

21st April: 3835 newly tested individuals reported

22nd April: 3377 newly tested individuals reported

23rd April: 3106 newly tested individuals reported

 

Local positive tests numbers from previous 24 hours:

Date 17/4 18/4 19/4 20/4 21/4 22/4 23/4
Ayrshire & Arran 17 14 21 16 25 28 26
Borders 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Dumfries & Galloway 1 0 1 0 2 3 6
Fife 12 10 9 10 24 17 24
Forth Valley 14 11 14 7 22 10 12
Grampian 23 18 18 23 19 21 10
Greater Glasgow & Clyde 54 60 58 45 68 64 74
Highland 5 2 4 3 3 2 7
Lanarkshire 49 58 56 29 60 42 53
Lothian 22 26 30 29 37 34 27
Orkney 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Shetland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tayside 13 11 21 16 13 10 15
Western Isles 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

 

Hospitals etc

 

Date Deaths ITU with +ve test ITU patients over 28 days Hospital Occupancy

(%age of delayed discharges)

Delayed in hospital
17/4 2 16 6 105 (10%) 1045
18/4 0 14 6 104 (10%) 1045
19/4 0 14 6 104 (10%) 1045
20/4 2 13 7 106 (10%) 1045
21/4 -1* 14 7 107 (11%) 1010
22/4 3 12 7 93 (9%) 1010
23/4 1 12 7 93 (9%) 1010

*On 21 April 2021, two previously reported, confirmed COVID-19 deaths have been de-notified following further investigation into the date when the case was first notified to Public Health Scotland. In both cases, reports of earlier specimen dates were identified, which resulted in a difference of more than 28 days between the first COVID-19 PCR positive test results and the individuals’ date of death. Confirmed COVID-19 deaths are defined as only those that occur within 28 days of the date of the first reported positive PCR specimen. The impact of these de-notifications is that the cumulative total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths reported today is 7,643 instead of 7,645. On 21 April 2021,  there was 1 new reported confirmed COVID-19 death.

 

Vaccinations

 

Date Cumulative first doses Cumulative second doses Daily first dose Daily second dose
17/4 2,733,387 715,714 11303 26953
18/4 2,744,231 738,420 10844 22704
19/4 2,747,694 757,115 3463 18695
20/4 2,750,052 797,267 2358 40152
21/4 2,752,575 847,655 2523 50388
22/4 2,755,175 898,231 2600 50576
23/4 2,758,381 949,228 3206 50997

ONS Prevalence Survey

The ONS estimates 1 in 560 people had the coronavirus in the week 10th to 16th April. This is a very low rate and getting smaller. We are certainly out of coronavirus season and came out of any epidemic a long time ago.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – ‘Cases’ are stabilising at this really low level. It really can’t get much lower than this due to the false positive floor. 

Graph 1

 

Graph 2 – Positivity is very far below epidemic levels at around 1%. We have been below 5% for almost 2 and a half months now. Five percent is the WHO epidemic level. We are doing an awful lot of testing to find very few positives.

Graph 2

 

Graph 3 – The number of newly tested individuals is fairly stable but dropping, which is yet another indication that there is nothing much happening, covid-wise. There is no rise in people in the community seeking a test. We are looking for infection in more and more people and finding less.


Graph 3

 

Graph 4 – Hospital occupancy is now at less than 10% of the number of delayed discharges… and falling!!!! Deaths are flat. There is really very little going on in our hospitals, covid-wise. In fact, I think that all our covid patients must surely be delayed patients at this point, which puts things in a very different light to how we are being encouraged to think about the hospital covid situation.


Graph 4

 

Graph 5 – NHS vs Community testing. The trend there continues – you can see the gap widening between NHS and Community testing. This tells you quite a lot about where the infections are not: they are not in the community because people are not seeking out tests. NHS tests are largely routine and this is why the number of NHS tests performed is holding up so strongly. (Apologies for any strange appearance in the colours of the series of this graph.)


Graph 5

 

Image 6 – I am adding this image because it is so striking. This is ITU occupancy in Scotland by region – a screenshot from the government’s own spreadsheets. The asterisks indicate where there are fewer than 5 patients. Remember that in some of these regions there will be more than one ITU.


Image 6

 

Graph 7 – Hospital occupancy by region – the story there continues; occupancy at very low levels everywhere. If a region doesn’t feature, it’s because there are fewer than five patients there.


Graph 7

 

Graphs 8&9 – Vaccinations as seen below. Second doses are being delivered at a much faster rate than first doses. This means that many fewer people have been starting the two dose vaccination program.


Graphs 8&9

 

Graph 10 – ONS Prevalence survey – this is the lowest rate we have seen this year again. It is extremely low and falling quite fast.


Graph 10

Tweet and share!

Lots of love  ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

 

Share article
Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin
Share on reddit
Share on telegram
Share on whatsapp
Share on email
Share on print

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top