I have been asked a number of times to put the deaths into context of the months of previous years… and so finally, let me do so here.
You can see Januarys 2020 and 2021 were very unexceptional, middle of the road months for deaths in Scotland.
February 2020 was on the low side for deaths in Scotland.
March 2020 was also unexceptional but followed some very low-death Marches.
April 2020 was clearly absolutely extraordinary. But we already knew that.
May 2020 was also high for deaths, but not as wildly exceptional as April and also part of an increasing trend.
June 2020 was middle of the road. As were July and August.
September 2020 was a little on the high side but not exceptional at all.
October 2020 was a little on the high side, but part of a rising trend and less than October 2019.
There is a distinct trend for rising deaths in November and 2020 was high compared to all years since 1993. However, deaths were much lower in 2020 than they were in that year.
December 2020 deaths were a little on the high side, but again, part of a rising trend and not particularly exceptional.
I think that what these charts show is that we have had an exceptional year for death in one month only. That was April. Deaths have been a little high some other months, but we know from previous posts this is a complex picture and it is just dishonest to pretend lockdown hasn’t caused deaths. So there is a lot going on here, but there is not a lot of evidence for excess deaths having been caused in these second and third waves we have seen.
Lots of love ❤
Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪