Data for 1st February 2021

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Hello Friends! 🕵️‍♂️📰📉

 

For clarity, all today’s stats come from Government stats at https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

 

Data 1st February 2021:

848* new +ve tests (⇩15% on yesterday)

10511* new tests reporting (⇩26%)

This is 8.1% positive percentage rate (⇧1.0%)

*There have been no data from the NHS Tayside lab since Saturday 30th January

 

In total including repeat tests 996 were +ve – this is a 9.5% rate (⇧1.4%)

 

3826 newly tested individuals reported (⇩15%).

 

Local data:

Ayrshire and Arran 58, Borders 11, Dumfries and Galloway 19, Fife 40, Forth Valley 75, Grampian 45, Greater Glasgow and Clyde 244, Highland 16, Lanarkshire 167, Lothian 111, Orkney 0, Shetland 0, Tayside 61, Western Isles 1

 

6 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve (no change)

143 people in ITU with recently +ve test (no change)

1958 admitted or moving through hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days (⇧0.9%)

 

Vaccinations

As of today, 575897 people have received their first dose of the vaccine and 7849 their second.

This means that since yesterday 9628 people were vaccinated with their first dose and 55 with their second.

 

ONS Prevalence Survey

1 in 110 people had the coronavirus in the week 17th to 23rd January.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – The trace has turned, as I expected. It’ll be interesting to see what it does over the next few days, but I think it will stabilise probably just above the green line, and obviously we have some tests to come back from the Tayside lab.

Graph 2 – It looks like the percentage positive is starting to level off.

Graph 3 – Newly tested individuals are continuing to fall.

Graph 4 – Hospital and ICU occupancy look to be falling trend-wise, but slowly as we saw in the October wave. Deaths still look flat.

Graph 5 – Testing looks so unusual from the two channels combined. Both channels really low but the glaring story is the decline in community testing, which I think is really good news.

Graphs 6&7 – Things are changing a bit here. We seem to be losing correlation for ITU occupancy and deaths from positive tests. We have some thoughts as to what might be going on – more in the next few days.

Graph 8 – ITU occupancy trending down in every region, and Fife has fallen off the graph, having gone below the 5 patients threshold for reporting. There has been a significant fall in Glasgow, which is great news – and Lanarkshire too.

Graph 9 – Hospital occupancy is flattening or trending down everywhere now.

Graph 10 – Vaccinations as seen below.

 

Tweet and share!

Lots of love ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x

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4 Comments

  • I have had on good authority GQE has not had a survival in ITU and patients are younger. However on more detailed questioning it was agreed that there have been few/if any under 122KG and in fact up to 140kG all with BMI of 30+ At the risk of being judgmental these people have been at serious risk long before covid came to pass

    Reply
  • Any correlation between “vaccination” and deaths/adverse effects?…..maybe too difficult. .CDC study reported 2.64% adverse reactions. These would start appearing a few days after jab. THANKS FOR ALL YOUR EFFORTS

    Reply
    • We are keeping an eye on all the data relating to mortality and vaccination – obviously this is a matter of very significant importance. Any correlation with a change in mortality with the vaccine should become obvious very soon. Thank you!

      Reply

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