Data for 30th January 2021

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Hello Friends! πŸ•΅οΈβ€β™‚οΈπŸ“°πŸ“‰

 

I have had a few queries about where I get my data from – all the references are on the graphs. But just to be clear, for the entirety of this blog all the data come from the two websites below. The spreadsheets where the data are put in to generate the graphs shown are linked on this website and I do encourage you to go and have a look at them – they need oversight to check for errors. We have had some suggestions on there for improvements to the graphs – all taken on very gladly and with many thanks to those who have taken the time to offer their help. 😊

https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/

https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Data 30th January 2021:

994 new +ve tests (⇩14% on yesterday)

22056 new tests reporting (⇩5%)

This is 4.5% positive percentage rate (⇩0.5%)

 

In total including repeat tests 1211 were +ve – this is a 5.5% rate (⇩0.3%)

 

5694 newly tested individuals reported (⇧2.3%).

 

Local data:

Ayrshire and Arran 74, Borders 12, Dumfries and Galloway 32, Fife 32, Forth Valley 57, Grampian 63, Greater Glasgow and Clyde 331, Highland 40, Lanarkshire 174, Lothian 119, Orkney 1, Shetland 0, Tayside 59, Western Isles 0

 

60 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve (⇩10)

142 people in ITU with recently +ve test (⇩2)

1952 admitted or moving through hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days (⇩0.3%)

 

Vaccinations

As of today, 543370 people have received their first dose of the vaccine and 7638 their second.

This means that since yesterday 27515 people were vaccinated with their first dose and 543 with their second.

 

Comment:

Graph 1 – No change in the trend of the astonishing fall in positive test numbers. I keep waiting for it to hit a new floor and bounce around there and I expect that to happen any time now, although the trajectory has been a steep downwards straight line for over 3 weeks.

Graph 2 – Everything trending down. New tests, positive percentage, newly tested individuals, and positive tests – all heading down.

Graph 3 – NHS test numbers still historically high and community tests very low. This has been a developing trend and I’m a bit surprised at the suddenness in the drop in community tests, but it’s really good news. It implies that we have little covid in the community if people are not seeking tests. But really, we need to know the split in positivity between the two channels, quite urgently.

Graph 4 – The linear decline in positive tests continues and it follows that hospital occupancy and ITU occupancy are falling. Deaths look like they have flattened.

Graph 5 – Positive tests falling in every region.

Graph 6 – Positive percentages are basically trending down everywhere.

Graphs 7&8 – I think this pair of graphs shows that we should soon see a fairly rapid decline in deaths if positive tests have any predictive value (which they should).

Graph 8 – Concentrating on the green line, we see that ITU occupancy is below the level of the first wave and falling.

Graph 9 – ITU occupancy very similar yesterday and today. Falling overall.

Graph 10 – Hospital occupancy is a more complex and mixed picture. We can see there are some areas under more pressure than others. Western Isles have entered this picture for the first time in the whole pandemic (we only record the count of patients if there are more than 5).

Graph 11 – Vaccinations as seen below.

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Lots of love ❀

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong πŸ’ͺ

Christine x

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