Hello Friends! 🕵️♂️📰📉
Data 29th January 2021:
1155 new +ve tests (⇩4% on yesterday)
23330 new tests reporting (⇩10%)
This is 5.0% positive percentage rate (⇧0.4%)
In total including repeat tests 1363 were +ve – this is a 5.8% rate (⇧0.2%)
5568 newly tested individuals reported (⇧1.9%).
Ayrshire and Arran 108, Borders 17, Dumfries and Galloway 27, Fife 52, Forth Valley 77, Grampian 64, Greater Glasgow and Clyde 337, Highland 43, Lanarkshire 207, Lothian 147, Orkney 0, Shetland 0, Tayside 70, Western Isles 6
70 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve (⇩12)
144 people in ITU with recently +ve test (⇧2)
1958 admitted or moving through hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days (⇩1%)
Vaccinations (not reported yesterday)
As of today, 515855 people have received their first dose of the vaccine and 7095 their second.
This means that since 2 days ago 53763 people were vaccinated with their first dose and 499 with their second.
Graph 1 – No change in the trend of the astonishing fall in positive test numbers. I keep waiting for it to hit a new floor and bounce around there but there is no sign of this happening. The trend line is so perfectly and peculiarly straight, we can say that at this rate of decline (and I say this in jest! (Sort of)) we will be at Zero Covid by the 19th February.
Graph 2 – Everything trending down. New tests, positive percentage, newly tested individuals, and positive tests – all heading down. The smoothness of the positive percentage trace is in sharp contrast with how it looked last year.
Graph 3 – NHS test numbers still very high and community tests very low. This is a continued trend. Once again, we can see that over half the tests are coming from hospital testing. It really would be so immensely useful to see how many of these ‘cases’ are coming from hospital vs community to get an idea of the extent of the problem in the community.
Graph 4 – Positive tests still following the line of total tests, but at a lower ratio.
Graph 5 – Deaths look like they might be peaking, and ITU occupancy is falling, as is hospital occupancy, as expected with the fall in positive tests.
Graph 6 – There are no regions where there is a rising trend in positive cases. The fall is astonishing.
Graph 7 – Positive percentages are trending down everywhere. Forth Valley and Lothian have seen a modest increase today.
Graph 8 – Concentrating on the green line, we see that ITU occupancy is below the level of the first wave and falling.
Graph 9 – ITU occupancy very similar yesterday and today. Several places are about to fall off the radar because numbers heading below 5.
Graph 10 – Hospital occupancy flat or falling everywhere.
Graph 11 – Vaccinations
Graph 12 – Inspired by a follower on Twitter! How much of a problem is covid for kids? I don’t have morbidity data, but look how much school kids are tested and how comparatively small the positive percentage is compared to all other groups. And we know that throughout the pandemic we have had 1 death in a child, 4 in 20-24 age range and 41 in the 25-44 age range. The fact remains that although we don’t have great data on illness from covid, it is clearly a disease that is affecting children not much but the elderly quite a lot.
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Lots of love ❤
Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪