Data for 16th January 2021

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Hello Friends! 🕵️‍♂️📰📉


Today’s Data 16th January 2021:

1753 new +ve tests (⇩19% on yesterday)

24314 new tests reporting (⇩30%) 

This is 7.2% positive percentage rate (⇧1% on yesterday)


In total including repeat tests 2046 were +ve – this is a 8.4% rate.


6046 newly tested individuals reported (⇩22%).


Local data:

Greater Glasgow and Clyde 466, Lothian 169, Lanarkshire 295, Tayside 131, Grampian 163, Ayrshire and Arran 170, Fife 78, Forth Valley 114, Three island boards 19 (17 Western Isles, 2 Orkney).


78 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve (⇧17)

145 people in ITU with recently +ve test (⇧4)

1863 admitted or moving through hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days (⇧0.2%)



No update since yesterday.



Graph 1 – Overall, the trend for positives is unchanged and falling.

Graph 2 – The percentage positive continues to fall, very rapidly indeed! Newly tested individuals is still flat. I’m not quite sure what is happening with number of new tests – it seems to be climbing but I still think it’s slowing. There are a few new testing programmes starting up in the next week, I understand, so maybe it’s about to go through the roof.

Graph 3 – Lots of NHS tests – one of the highest days ever. Community testing relatively low.

Graph 4 – This graph shows quite nicely how the proportion of positive tests against tests performed is now falling after this quite strange and extremely severe surge from Boxing Day.

Graph 5 – Positive tests are falling across all regions, having all peaked at the same time. This is great news but the traces are just astonishingly similar. More on this in the next few days.

Graph 6 – The positivity across the regions is continuing to fall, having risen and peaked across the country simultaneously, and neighbouring areas look really similar. I will be doing a deeper delve in to this shortly.

Graph 7 – It looks like hospital occupancy rise is slowing – quite soon to say this, but it should really start to slow now that new positive cases has been dropping for a while. It’ll be interesting to see how this compares to the October ‘wave’. Deaths continue to rise, again, as expected with the preceding rise in positives. And ITU occupancy is still climbing.

Graph 8 – ITU is filling up in Glasgow. The rest of the picture is a little messy. (Missing regions, or missing data, show where the number of patients was fewer than 5.)

Graph 9 – Hospital occupancy with covid is higher than it was in the spring, expect in Glasgow and Lothian. (As above, missing regions, or missing data, show where the number of patients was fewer than 5.)


Tweet and share the graphs!

Lots of love ❤

Stay sane 🧠 Stay strong 💪

Christine x


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