Daily data for 23rd Dec 2020

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1190 new +ve tests (⇩10%)
26530 new tests reporting (⇧36%)

This is 4.5% positive percentage rate – 2.2% less than yesterday, which is a big drop.

In total including repeat tests 1320 were +ve – a 5.0% rate – this is 2.5% less than yesterday, which is massive!

8801 newly tested individuals reported (⇩8%) – Lots of newly tested individuals for some reason recently.

Local data:

  • Greater Glasgow and Clyde 259,
  • Lothian 157,
  • Lanarkshire 214,
  • Tayside 99,
  • Grampian 156,
  • Ayrshire and Arran 127,
  • Fife 68,
  • Forth Valley 64,
  • Three island boards 1

47 new reported deaths in those who have tested +ve (⇧4)
56 people in ITU with recently +ve test (⇩4)

1025 come through hospital with a recently positive test – through the 14 days prior to admission or having tested positive in hospital the last 28 days (⇩2%)

Comment:


Graph 1 – Obviously, there has been a massive rise in positive tests recently. Along with a massive rise in tests….


Graph 2 – Notice the inflection point on 16th December, where positives, newly tested individuals and new tests have all started to increase. The percentage positive has also turned up a little on the average line, but you’ll see in the dotted line, in fact, there is nothing very unusual happening. We are seeing a flattening. This is NOT WHAT HAPPENS IN AN EPIDEMIC.


Graph 3 – Everything is turning up, I know, including deaths now! (I’m always scared to say anything about deaths because they fling about so wildly!) There have been 200 deaths in the last week, where there were 183 the week before that. However, this increase has occurred with a much shorter lag against hospitalisations and ITU occupancy than happened with the peak in positives in October. I’m really suspicious about this, frankly.


Graph 4 – you can see here how extraordinarily high the testing numbers have been recently in the community labs, while NHS lab tests seem to be lower.


Graph ‘suite’ 5 – I’ve added these because I used to share them with you. You see Covid is becoming more deadly, while also resulting in less full ITUs when measured against positive tests. Weird.


Graph 6 – For your interest! Lots going on there. Shows the crisis in ITU in perspective to the first wave. I just do not believe that hospitals are overwhelmed in any way whatsoever.

Wine time. 🍷

Tweet and share the graphs!

Lots of love this Wednesday. ❤

Stay sane – Stay strong 💪

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